Sitemap - 2019 - Information Equilibrium
Random odds and ends from December
Dynamic equilibrium: consumer sentiment
Unemployment in France (and Germany)
Money velocity, interest rates, and ... robots?
Information Transfer Economics: Year in Review 2019
Average weekly hours in the UK
Projections, predictions, accountability, and accuracy
World GDP growth and silly models
Wage growth and belated GDP updates
Exploration of an abstract space: prices, money, and ... ships at sea?
Calling a recession too early (and incorrectly)
Odds and ends from the first half of September
Market-correlated fluctuations in employment data
Under-employment case studies: US and Australia
Personal consumption expenditures and other data
Milton Friedman's Thermostat, redux
A Solow Paradox for the Industrial Revolution
The Phillips curve and The Narrative
JOLTS data and Korean unemployment
UK productivity back to the 1800s and the new normal
Nimbyism in the labor market, or static thinking?
GDP data and a Beveridge (not Phillips) curve
Continuing decline in the median house price
Unemployment Rate: Backstroke of the West
Mis-measurement of the unemployment rate?
Getting one wrong: EU unemployment ... plus a mini-boom?
The Phillips Curve: An Overview
Wage growth, inflation, interest rates, and employment
Labor market update: external validity edition
Median sales price of new houses
A Workers' History of the United States 1948-2020
Sometimes I feel like I don't see the data
Resolving the Cambridge capital controversy with logic
Resolving the Cambridge capital controversy with MaxEnt
Is Washington State heading into recession?
CPI and DIEM inflation forecasts
Employment Situation Day (and other updates)
Market updates, Fair's model, and Sahm's rule
Prices are sticky except when they aren't. Um, ok.
Accounting identities and conservation laws
Wage growth forecast continues to perform (unemployment, too)
JOLTS: a continuing deviation from the trend
Economic weakness in the West?
Wage growth and tight labor markets
Employment-population ratio and labor force participation rate
Core PCE inflation: three cheers for DSGE
Wage growth forecast continues to do well
Median interest rate spread inverted
CPI inflation forecast still holding up after 2 years (plus useless forecasts)
Dynamic equilibrium in population growth
Things that changed in the 90s
What is Okun's law about, anyway?
Unemployment rate holds steady at 3.8%
Coal production 1905-1939 and the Great Depression
Data revisions (inflation and rgdp forecasts)
The beginnings of an information equilibrium macro model
Beveridge curve update (and labor force participation)
Declining employment rate for 15-24 year olds in the US
Market updates 2k19! And an old forecast ...
MASSIVE revisions to the JOLTS series!
Policy in information equilibrium: job guarantee
MMT cannot produce forecasts nor accurately fit data
Two phases of the 2008 housing crisis
MMT = Keynes + Monetary kookiness
Now Fed forecasts are too optimistic!
DIEM versus VAR or: Too Many Variables Spoil the Broth
JOLTS February 2019 (Dec 2018 data)
Wage growth accelerates (and will until there's a recession)