One of the forecasts I made when I first worked out the theory behind the dynamic information equilibrium model (DIEM) besides the unemployment rate was for the S&P 500. This forecast has worked out remarkably well — though one might ask how could it not with error bands on the order of 20%? I changed the color scheme a bit since the original forecast, but here's where we are (note that it's a log plot):
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The S&P 500 since 2017
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One of the forecasts I made when I first worked out the theory behind the dynamic information equilibrium model (DIEM) besides the unemployment rate was for the S&P 500. This forecast has worked out remarkably well — though one might ask how could it not with error bands on the order of 20%? I changed the color scheme a bit since the original forecast, but here's where we are (note that it's a log plot):