We're coming up to the end of a forecast I made almost three years ago. The previous update is here and everything is at the aggregated forecast post. It's a forecast I made in comparison with a NY Fed DSGE model, and it appears to be coming down to a tie. However that's a win for the five parameter monetary information equilibrium model (that also works for the entire post-war period) versus the 40+ parameter DSGE model.
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Forecast updates and more: IE versus Fed DSGE…
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We're coming up to the end of a forecast I made almost three years ago. The previous update is here and everything is at the aggregated forecast post. It's a forecast I made in comparison with a NY Fed DSGE model, and it appears to be coming down to a tie. However that's a win for the five parameter monetary information equilibrium model (that also works for the entire post-war period) versus the 40+ parameter DSGE model.