I had a speculative indicator of recessions based on interest rates being high or low relative to the IT model trend based on the NGDP-M0 path all described at this post. I mentioned that I would check it out when I got a chance given that there seemed to be potential for really low inflation over the next 6 months as I talked about
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Are we no longer safe from a recession?
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I had a speculative indicator of recessions based on interest rates being high or low relative to the IT model trend based on the NGDP-M0 path all described at this post. I mentioned that I would check it out when I got a chance given that there seemed to be potential for really low inflation over the next 6 months as I talked about