Anatomy of a tweet

Lars Christensen's tweet about the slight fall in 10-year interest rates is a thing of beauty, if by beauty one means the smug security of a circular argument:

Anatomy of a tweet

I thought his qualitative circular hand-waving theory that lacks the capacity for even an order of magnitude estimate for observable variables would be an excellent counterpoint to my update of the quantitative 10-year interest rate model forecast (where the performance has been tracked publicly since 2015):

Per the infographic above, I guess this represents signalling of my own ...